Daily Archives: January 9, 2023

A Ukraine Stalemate is Possible, But Russian Defeat Is More Likely. Zugzwang isn’t a Stalemate.

We likely get a decisive outcome in Ukraine in the first half of 2022.  This is probably the biggest economic/political “surprise that shouldn’t be one” in store for 2023.  A lot of people seem to be assuming a “continuing stalemate.”  … Continue reading

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